# Surf Forecast Accuracy Diagnostic AI Agent Connect

> Evaluate surf forecast precision by comparing predicted wave conditions against real-world observations.

## Overview
- **Category:** data-science
- **Price:** Free
- **Endpoint:** https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_g4e9SI4h2MUSQzZ0kFBEIqRVnjOHYD5zTWEjAGTU/ai-agent-connect
- **Tags:** surf, forecast, ocean, accuracy, weather-models

## Description

This MCP server provides diagnostic tools to evaluate the precision of surf forecast models. By comparing predicted wave conditions against real-world observations, it enables optimized model selection and bias adjustment. Use `get_model_performance_stats` to retrieve reliability scores, `calculate_bias_correction` to find adjustment factors for metrics like wave height, and `recommend_best_model` to identify the most trustworthy forecast for specific sea states and regions. It also includes `verify_forecast_integrity` to ensure historical data is sufficient for analysis.

## Tools

### calculate_bias_correction
Calculate the bias correction factor for a model variable

### get_model_performance_stats
Get accuracy statistics for a specific model in a region over a time range

### recommend_best_model
Recommend the most reliable model for a region and condition

### verify_forecast_integrity
Verify the integrity of historical forecast data

## Prompt Examples

**Prompt:** 
```
How accurate has the 'global_swell_v2' model been in the North Atlantic over the last month?
```

**Response:** 
```
The 'global_swell_v2' model has an accuracy score of 0.88 and a High reliability rating in the North Atlantic for the requested period.
```

**Prompt:** 
```
Which model should I trust most for wind chop in the South Pacific?
```

**Response:** 
```
The 'regional_pacific_pro' model is recommended for wind chop in the South Pacific with an expected accuracy of 0.92.
```

**Prompt:** 
```
How much should I adjust the wave height predictions for the 'ocean_master' model in the North Atlantic?
```

**Response:** 
```
The correction factor for waveHeight for the 'ocean_master' model in the North Atlantic is 1.05, with a confidence level of 0.94.
```

## Frequently Asked Questions

**How can I find the most reliable model for swell conditions?**
You can use the `recommend_best_model` tool, specifying the region and setting the condition type to 'swell'.

**What is a bias correction factor?**
It is a multiplier used to adjust model predictions to better match observed reality, calculated via `calculate_bias_correction`.

**Can I check if there is enough data for a specific region?**
Yes, use `verify_forecast_integrity` to check data completeness and whether the volume is sufficient for statistical analysis.