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ClaudeChatGPTPerplexityGeminiMicrosoft CopilotRaycastMeta AIGrokZ.aiQwenKimi
DeepSeekMistralCursorVS CodeWindsurfJetBrainsClineLovableVercel AI SDKLangChain

Use Conditional Market Arbitrage with your AI.

Connect your account once and let the AI you already use work with it, without building another integration. Identify risk-free arbitrage in conditional prediction markets using Bayesian probability.

Included with plan

Ask AI about this Connector

Developed, maintained, and hosted by Vinkius.

MCP VERIFIED · PRODUCTION READY · VINKIUS GUARANTEED

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Works with modern AI clients that support MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Cursor, and more.

ChatGPTClaudeCursorPerplexityGeminiMicrosoft CopilotRaycastMeta AI

Complete set · 3 capabilities

The complete Conditional Market Arbitrage capability set.

These are the exact actions your AI can choose when you ask it to work with Conditional Market Arbitrage.

Capability set01 / 01

01-03

3 capabilities in this set.

Part of 3 available through Conditional Market Arbitrage.

  1. 01

    Analyze conditional arbitrage

    Evaluates the relationship between base markets and a conditional market to identify arbitrage opportunities

  2. 02

    Calculate joint probability requirement

    Determines what the price of a "Both A and B" market should be based on existing conditional and base market prices

  3. 03

    Verify market independence

    Determines if the conditional market's price is consistent with the base market B, assuming event A has no influence on B

Observed, not estimated

795ms average. Fast in production.

Conditional Market Arbitrage is checked daily against the live service.

Daily averagePeak 934ms
Aug 20Today
Fastest day
636ms
Slowest day
934ms
14-day trend
Slowing+24%

Connect your client

One URL. Every client.

Activate the Connector, copy your link, and paste it into the client you already use. 3 capabilities arrive ready to run.

Preview access · not provider authentication

The vk_preview_* token belongs to Vinkius preview infrastructure. It lets Claude discover and display the capabilities of Conditional Market Arbitrage, so you can see the experience inside your AI.

It does not authenticate your account with Conditional Market Arbitrage. Actions requiring credentials or live account data may not run until you activate the Connector and authorize the service.

Conditional Market Arbitrage Connector

You're all set. Choose your MCP client and follow the setup instructions.

Connector linkhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_wDbKhHoFJKGyEo9WH3iTVwUkFnLk8BQo4jcAr7mv/mcp

Claude Desktop

Follow the steps below to connect in seconds.

  1. 1In Claude Desktop, open Settings → Connectors.
  2. 2Click “Add custom connector” and paste the connector link above as the remote MCP server URL.
  3. 3Click Add and start a new chat — Conditional Market Arbitrage capabilities are ready to use.
Configuration · claude_desktop_config.jsonCopy
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "conditional-market-arbitrage-engine-mcp": {
      "url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_wDbKhHoFJKGyEo9WH3iTVwUkFnLk8BQo4jcAr7mv/mcp"
    }
  }
}
  • Claude
  • ChatGPT
  • Cursor
  • VS Code
  • Windsurf
  • Claude Code
  • JetBrains
  • Cline

Step-by-step instructions for each client are in the guide. How to connect

FAQ

Questions Conditional Market Arbitrage owners ask.

  • 01

    How does the arbitrage detection work?

    The engine uses analyze_conditional_arbitrage to calculate the theoretical conditional price using Bayes' theorem. If the market price deviates from this theoretical value by more than 5%, an arbitrage opportunity is flagged.

  • 02

    Can I check if two events are independent?

    Yes, you can use the verify_market_independence capability to determine if the price of a conditional market is consistent with the base market, indicating whether event A influences event B.

  • 03

    What is the output of an arbitrage analysis?

    The analyze_conditional_arbitrage capability returns the deviation percentage, the implied joint probability, and a list of suggestedTrades designed to capture the guaranteed return for your deployed capital.

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