Use Exploration Success Probability with your AI.
Connect your account once and let the AI you already use work with it, without building another integration. Quantify discovery risks and resource values with precision.
Developed, maintained, and hosted by Vinkius.
MCP VERIFIED · PRODUCTION READY · VINKIUS GUARANTEED
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Works with modern AI clients that support MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Cursor, and more.
Complete set · 4 capabilities
The complete Exploration Success Probability capability set.
These are the exact actions your AI can choose when you ask it to work with Exploration Success Probability.
01-04
4 capabilities in this set.
Part of 4 available through Exploration Success Probability.
- 01
Calculate discovery probability
This capability determines the cumulative likelihood of finding at least one resource across your entire exploration portfolio.
- 02
Calculate expected value
Use this to quantify the average number of successful discoveries you can expect from your current set of prospects.
- 03
Calculate risked resource
This capability estimates the risked volume of a resource by applying success probability to the total potential volume.
- 04
Analyze correlation sensitivity
This capability helps you understand how much your discovery probability changes when geological correlation values shift.
One connector, every AI
Exploration Success Probability works with the most popular AI clients.
These are the most popular clients, each with a step-by-step guide: one link, set up once, with governance and visibility built in. And because everything runs on the MCP standard, the same connection also works in any other compatible client — nothing to rebuild.
Claude
ChatGPT
Gemini
Perplexity
Grok
Microsoft Copilot
Cursor
VS Code
Windsurf
JetBrains
Cline
LangChain
Vercel AI SDK
Lovable
Z.ai
Raycast
Qwen Code
Kimi Code
Le ChatBuilding your own app? The connector is yours to use.
You don't need a client to put Exploration Success Probability to work: the same hosted connection plugs into your own applications and agent code, with the same governance on every request. Build with it, chat with it — one connection for both.
Observed, not estimated
859ms average. Fast in production.
Exploration Success Probability is checked daily against the live service.
- Fastest day
- 659ms
- Slowest day
- 987ms
- 14-day trend
- Slowing+50%
Connect your client
One URL. Every client.
Activate the Connector, copy your link, and paste it into the client you already use. 4 capabilities arrive ready to run.
Preview access · not provider authentication
The vk_preview_* token belongs to Vinkius preview infrastructure. It lets Claude discover and display the capabilities of Exploration Success Probability, so you can see the experience inside your AI.
It does not authenticate your account with Exploration Success Probability. Actions requiring credentials or live account data may not run until you activate the Connector and authorize the service.
Exploration Success Probability Connector
You're all set. Choose your MCP client and follow the setup instructions.
https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_x1buo60lVS1PDSyWl1GQnPxcT7qBaa3SWjbutKDD/mcpClaude Desktop
Follow the steps below to connect in seconds.
- 1In Claude Desktop, open Settings → Connectors.
- 2Click “Add custom connector” and paste the connector link above as the remote MCP server URL.
- 3Click Add and start a new chat — Exploration Success Probability capabilities are ready to use.
{
"mcpServers": {
"exploration-success-probability-engine-mcp": {
"url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_x1buo60lVS1PDSyWl1GQnPxcT7qBaa3SWjbutKDD/mcp"
}
}
}
Claude
ChatGPT
Cursor
VS Code
Windsurf
Claude Code
JetBrains
Cline
Step-by-step instructions for each client are in the guide. How to connect
Guided setup for Claude? link.label
Who it's for
Built for the work Exploration Success Probability owners hand off.
Geological professionals and resource planners use this MCP to move from qualitative guesses to quantitative risk models.
- 01
Exploration Geologists
They hand off prospect data to the AI to model discovery likelihoods.
- 02
Resource Estimators
They use the capability to calculate risked volumes for potential resource finds.
- 03
Mining Analysts
They use the expected value capabilities to evaluate the mathematical worth of exploration portfolios.
FAQ
Questions Exploration Success Probability owners ask.
- 01
How does this MCP handle multiple prospects?
It uses spatial and geological correlations to calculate the cumulative likelihood of discovery across the entire group rather than treating them as isolated events.
- 02
Can I use this with Claude or Cursor?
Yes, you can connect this MCP to any MCP-compatible client like Claude, Cursor, or Windsurf through the Vinkius platform.
- 03
What is a risked resource?
A risked resource is an estimate of a potential find where the total volume is multiplied by the probability of success.
- 04
Does this capability help with sensitivity analysis?
Yes, you can use the correlation sensitivity capability to see how changes in geological correlation affect your discovery probability.
- 05
Do I need to host the MCP myself?
No, Vinkius hosts and manages the MCP for you. You just connect your client and start using the capabilities.
- 06
How does geological correlation affect my results?
High correlation means successes are likely to cluster. The calculate_discovery_probability capability adjusts the cumulative probability downward as correlation increases, reflecting that successes are not independent events.
- 07
What is a risked resource estimate?
A risked resource estimate is a volume-based metric where the theoretical total resource is adjusted by the probability of success. You can calculate this using calculate_risked_resource.
- 08
Can I analyze how sensitive my model is to correlation assumptions?
Yes, you can use the analyze_correlation_sensitivity capability to see how the probability of at least one success shifts when the correlation coefficient is adjusted.
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