How does this MCP handle multiple prospects?

It uses spatial and geological correlations to calculate the cumulative likelihood of discovery across the entire group rather than treating them as isolated events.

Can I use this with Claude or Cursor?

Yes, you can connect this MCP to any MCP-compatible client like Claude, Cursor, or Windsurf through the Vinkius platform.

What is a risked resource?

A risked resource is an estimate of a potential find where the total volume is multiplied by the probability of success.

Does this capability help with sensitivity analysis?

Yes, you can use the correlation sensitivity capability to see how changes in geological correlation affect your discovery probability.

Do I need to host the MCP myself?

No, Vinkius hosts and manages the MCP for you. You just connect your client and start using the capabilities.

How does geological correlation affect my results?

High correlation means successes are likely to cluster. The calculate_discovery_probability capability adjusts the cumulative probability downward as correlation increases, reflecting that successes are not independent events.

What is a risked resource estimate?

A risked resource estimate is a volume-based metric where the theoretical total resource is adjusted by the probability of success. You can calculate this using calculate_risked_resource.

Can I analyze how sensitive my model is to correlation assumptions?

Yes, you can use the analyze_correlation_sensitivity capability to see how the probability of at least one success shifts when the correlation coefficient is adjusted.

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Connect Exploration Success Probability Engine to your AI

Set it up once and it works in ChatGPT, Claude, Cursor, and any other client you love. It all runs safely in the background, so you can relax and focus on what really matters. Quantify discovery risks and resource values with precision.

Ask AI about this Connector

Developed, maintained, and hosted by Vinkius.

MCP VERIFIED · PRODUCTION READY · VINKIUS GUARANTEED

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Works with modern AI clients that support MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Cursor, and more.

Your AI does the work. We keep it safe and sound.

No other AI tool gives you this. Your workflow runs in the client you already love, your account stays protected, and you decide what the agent can and cannot do. It is the whole reason to make the switch.

Each Connector lives inside our infrastructure, the same place where your workflow runs. The three things below are already part of it, working quietly in the background so you never have to think about them. Nothing to add, nothing to set up, nothing to worry about.

V8 Isolate01

Each Connector runs inside its own sealed environment.

Each Connector runs inside its own sealed V8 runtime — no access to your files, your system, or other servers. A Connector never sees past its own request.

Kill Switch02

One switch stops every agent. Instantly.

One action deactivates every Connector, revokes every token, and ends every session at once. AI Governance keeps the record.

FinOps per User03

Spending limits that pause instead of surprise.

Every user keeps their own connections and credentials, isolated from everyone else. Anything that would cross your spending limit is held for your approval, not billed.

Three controls, built into the layer your AI connects through.

Curated set · 4 capabilities

We ship only the actions that matter.

Capability set01 / 01

01-04

4 capabilities in this set.

Part of 4 available through Exploration Success Probability.

01
Calculate discovery probability
This capability determines the cumulative likelihood of finding at least one resource across your entire exploration portfolio.
02
Calculate expected value
Use this to quantify the average number of successful discoveries you can expect from your current set of prospects.
03
Calculate risked resource
This capability estimates the risked volume of a resource by applying success probability to the total potential volume.
04
Analyze correlation sensitivity
This capability helps you understand how much your discovery probability changes when geological correlation values shift.

Real work

What teams actually run

Portfolio Evaluation

Determine the total probability of finding a resource across a group of related prospects.

Risked Volume Calculation

Apply success probabilities to total potential volumes to get a realistic resource estimate.

Sensitivity Testing

Check how much your discovery risk changes if your geological correlation assumptions are slightly off.

Discovery Forecasting

Calculate the average number of successful finds expected from a specific set of exploration targets.

One connector, every AI

Exploration Success Probability works with the most popular AI clients.

These are the most popular clients, each with a step-by-step guide: one link, set up once, with governance and visibility built in. And because everything runs on the MCP standard, the same connection also works in any other compatible client — nothing to rebuild.

Building your own app? The connector is yours to use.

You don't need a client to put Exploration Success Probability to work: the same hosted connection plugs into your own applications and agent code, with the same governance on every request. Build with it, chat with it — one connection for both.

Observed, not estimated

908ms average. Fast in production.

Exploration Success Probability is checked daily against the live service.

Daily averagePeak 1072ms

Oct 3Today

Fastest day: 735ms
Slowest day: 1072ms
14-day trend: Slowing+8%

Connect your client

One URL. Every client.

Activate the Connector, copy your link, and paste it into the client you already use. 4 capabilities arrive ready to run.

Preview access · not provider authentication

The vk_preview_* token belongs to Vinkius preview infrastructure. It lets Claude discover and display the capabilities of Exploration Success Probability, so you can see the experience inside your AI.

It does not authenticate your account with Exploration Success Probability. Actions requiring credentials or live account data may not run until you activate the Connector and authorize the service.

Exploration Success Probability Connector

You're all set. Choose your MCP client and follow the setup instructions.

Connector linkhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_x1buo60lVS1PDSyWl1GQnPxcT7qBaa3SWjbutKDD/mcp

Claude Desktop

Follow the steps below to connect in seconds.

1In Claude Desktop, open Settings → Connectors.
2Click “Add custom connector” and paste the connector link above as the remote MCP server URL.
3Click Add and start a new chat — Exploration Success Probability capabilities are ready to use.

Configuration · claude_desktop_config.jsonCopy

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "exploration-success-probability-engine-mcp": {
      "url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_x1buo60lVS1PDSyWl1GQnPxcT7qBaa3SWjbutKDD/mcp"
    }
  }
}

Claude
ChatGPT
Cursor
VS Code
Windsurf
Claude Code
JetBrains
Cline

Step-by-step instructions for each client are in the guide. How to connect

Guided setup for Claude? Set up Exploration Success Probability in Claude and other AIs

See all the AI clients this connector works with ↑

Who it's for

Built for the work Exploration Success Probability owners hand off.

Geological professionals and resource planners use this MCP to move from qualitative guesses to quantitative risk models.

01
Exploration Geologists
They hand off prospect data to the AI to model discovery likelihoods.
02
Resource Estimators
They use the capability to calculate risked volumes for potential resource finds.
03
Mining Analysts
They use the expected value capabilities to evaluate the mathematical worth of exploration portfolios.

FAQ

Questions Exploration Success Probability owners ask.

01
How does this MCP handle multiple prospects?
It uses spatial and geological correlations to calculate the cumulative likelihood of discovery across the entire group rather than treating them as isolated events.
02
Can I use this with Claude or Cursor?
Yes, you can connect this MCP to any MCP-compatible client like Claude, Cursor, or Windsurf through the Vinkius platform.
03
What is a risked resource?
A risked resource is an estimate of a potential find where the total volume is multiplied by the probability of success.
04
Does this capability help with sensitivity analysis?
Yes, you can use the correlation sensitivity capability to see how changes in geological correlation affect your discovery probability.
05
Do I need to host the MCP myself?
No, Vinkius hosts and manages the MCP for you. You just connect your client and start using the capabilities.
06
How does geological correlation affect my results?
High correlation means successes are likely to cluster. The calculate_discovery_probability capability adjusts the cumulative probability downward as correlation increases, reflecting that successes are not independent events.
07
What is a risked resource estimate?
A risked resource estimate is a volume-based metric where the theoretical total resource is adjusted by the probability of success. You can calculate this using calculate_risked_resource.
08
Can I analyze how sensitive my model is to correlation assumptions?
Yes, you can use the analyze_correlation_sensitivity capability to see how the probability of at least one success shifts when the correlation coefficient is adjusted.

Explore

More in Mathematics

Connect Exploration Success Probability to Claude, Cursor, ChatGPT & more

Your AI does the work. We keep it safe and sound.

Each Connector runs inside its own sealed environment.

One switch stops every agent. Instantly.

Spending limits that pause instead of surprise.

We ship only the actions that matter.

01-04

Calculate discovery probability

Calculate expected value

Calculate risked resource

Analyze correlation sensitivity

What teams actually run

Portfolio Evaluation

Risked Volume Calculation

Sensitivity Testing

Discovery Forecasting

Building your own app? The connector is yours to use.

Exploration Success Probability Connector

Claude Desktop

Exploration Geologists

Resource Estimators

Mining Analysts

How does this MCP handle multiple prospects?

Can I use this with Claude or Cursor?

What is a risked resource?

Does this capability help with sensitivity analysis?

Do I need to host the MCP myself?

How does geological correlation affect my results?

What is a risked resource estimate?

Can I analyze how sensitive my model is to correlation assumptions?

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