• PROBABILITY
  • TARGETING
  • CONTEXT
  • HUMAN

How to forecast company exit probabilities with your AI

Connect PitchBook to your agent to run predictive models on company exit paths. You'll get specific likelihoods for IPOs and acquisitions.

Ask AI about this page

Short answer

How can I predict if a company will go public or be acquired?

Your AI uses PitchBook's predictive modeling to estimate the chance of an IPO or acquisition for specific targets. You get a breakdown of these probabilities and the underlying company data.

Exit analysis outcomes

What you get from the models

Running these predictions produces four specific types of intelligence.

PROBABILITY

Exit likelihood scores

The AI calculates the statistical chance of an IPO or acquisition. You get a clear percentage or score for each target.

TARGETING

High-potential lists

The agent identifies companies with the highest exit probability. You can use these lists to focus your research.

CONTEXT

Company profile data

The AI pulls fundamental company details to support its predictions. This provides the raw data behind every score.

HUMAN

Strategic decisions

The AI provides the math, but you make the final call. You use the scores to build your investment or M&A thesis.

The workflow

What your AI does when the request arrives.

The AI moves from raw company data to predictive modeling in a few steps.

  1. Identify the target

    The agent pulls the necessary firmographic and financial data for the specific company you want to analyze.

    get_company

  2. Run exit models

    The AI applies predictive algorithms to the company data to estimate exit timing and type.

    get_vc_exit_predictor

  3. Synthesize results

    The agent compares the exit probabilities against historical patterns in the PitchBook dataset.

    get_vc_exit_predictor

  4. Format intelligence

    The AI organizes the probability scores and company data into a readable report for your review.

    get_company

Try it

Copy these to start.

Use these prompts to trigger the PitchBook analysis immediately.

Starting points

Swap out the company names and industries in these prompts to get specific results.

PitchBook Connector

You're all set. Choose your MCP client and follow the setup instructions.

Connector linkhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_TaxGbT8ymKgr1kOTAem42xTYAspcMyUcSiL3et5o/mcp

Claude Desktop

Follow the steps below to connect in seconds.

  1. 1In Claude Desktop, open Settings → Connectors.
  2. 2Click “Add custom connector” and paste the connector link above as the remote MCP server URL.
  3. 3Click Add and start a new chat — PitchBook capabilities are ready to use.
Configuration · claude_desktop_config.jsonCopy
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "pitchbook-mcp": {
      "url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_TaxGbT8ymKgr1kOTAem42xTYAspcMyUcSiL3et5o/mcp"
    }
  }
}
Copy into chat04

  • What is the IPO probability for Stripe according to the exit predictor?

  • Run an exit probability forecast for SpaceX and summarize the results.

  • Find the exit likelihood for companies in the fintech sector using PitchBook data.

  • Compare the acquisition probabilities for Databricks and Snowflake.

  • Claude
  • ChatGPT
  • Cursor
  • VS Code
  • Windsurf
  • Claude Code
  • JetBrains
  • Cline

Start here

Connect PitchBook once, then ask.

Just link your PitchBook account. Your credentials stay encrypted, and you can start asking questions in your preferred AI client right away.

Connect PitchBook to your AI

FAQ

How this task behaves

  • 01

    Can the AI change company data in PitchBook?

    No. The AI can only read data and run predictions. It cannot edit or delete any records in your PitchBook account.

  • 02

    Does the AI provide real-time market news?

    No. The AI relies on the specific predictive modeling tools provided by the PitchBook MCP to estimate probabilities.

  • 03

    Can I use this with Claude?

    Yes. Any MCP-compatible client like Claude, Cursor, or Windsurf works once you connect the PitchBook MCP.

  • 04

    Who is responsible for the final exit prediction?

    The AI provides the statistical probability based on PitchBook data, but you are responsible for the final investment or strategic decision.

  • 05

    Can the AI predict exits for companies not in PitchBook?

    No. The AI can only analyze companies that it can successfully retrieve through the PitchBook tools.

  • More questions about PitchBook? See everything the PitchBook Connector can do

Connect PitchBook to Claude, Cursor, ChatGPT & more