• PROBABILITY
  • COSTS
  • ANALYSIS
  • HUMAN

How to calculate expected monetary value with your AI

Connect the Settlement Value Estimator to your AI client to turn case variables into a single weighted value. It handles the math, you handle the strategy.

Ask AI about this page

Short answer

How do I calculate EMV with my AI?

Your AI uses the calculate_emv tool to multiply potential awards by their probability of success and then subtracts your estimated litigation costs. You'll get a single, weighted figure that accounts for the risk and expense of the case.

The outcomes.

Where your data lands.

The AI processes your case inputs into these specific results.

PROBABILITY

Weighted award values

The AI calculates the mathematical expectation for each outcome. You get a list of values based on the likelihood of winning.

COSTS

Net value totals

The tool subtracts projected legal expenses from the weighted awards. This shows you the actual money left after costs.

ANALYSIS

Sensitivity checks

Your AI identifies how much a change in win probability affects the bottom line. This highlights which cases are most volatile.

HUMAN

Final decision review

The AI presents the final EMV for your review. You decide if the math justifies pursuing the litigation or settling early.

The workflow

What your AI does when the data arrives.

The AI handles the heavy math so you can focus on the strategy.

  1. Gather case variables

    Your AI pulls the potential award amounts and the estimated probability of success from your provided case notes.

    calculate_emv

  2. Apply cost deductions

    The agent factors in the projected litigation costs to ensure the value isn't inflated by unspent legal fees.

    calculate_emv

  3. Compute the EMV

    The tool runs the calculation to produce the single expected monetary value figure.

    calculate_emv

  4. Format the report

    Your AI organizes the results into a clean summary for your client meetings or internal reviews.

    calculate_emv

Try it

Copy these to start.

Use these prompts to kick off the calculation.

Starting points

These are opening lines. Swap the bracketed info with your actual case details.

Settlement Value Estimator Connector

You're all set. Choose your MCP client and follow the setup instructions.

Connector linkhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_ENQPiGtp0bmmgZ3Vhzlbx7aZd0bZpSVUS9GtGCso/mcp

Claude Desktop

Follow the steps below to connect in seconds.

  1. 1In Claude Desktop, open Settings → Connectors.
  2. 2Click “Add custom connector” and paste the connector link above as the remote MCP server URL.
  3. 3Click Add and start a new chat — Settlement Value Estimator capabilities are ready to use.
Configuration · claude_desktop_config.jsonCopy
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "settlement-value-estimator-mcp": {
      "url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_ENQPiGtp0bmmgZ3Vhzlbx7aZd0bZpSVUS9GtGCso/mcp"
    }
  }
}
Copy into chat04

  • Calculate the EMV for the Smith case using the $500,000 potential award and 40% win probability from my case notes.

  • Based on the data in the Peterson file, what is the EMV if we factor in $25,000 in litigation costs?

  • Run an EMV calculation for the upcoming Jones settlement using the attached spreadsheet.

  • Compare the EMV of the Miller case at a 30% win probability versus a 50% win probability.

  • Claude
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Start here

Connect Settlement Value Estimator once, then ask.

One link connects the MCP to your client. Your login stays encrypted on our side, and you can start working immediately.

Connect Settlement Value Estimator to your AI

FAQ

How this task behaves.

  • 01

    Can the AI change my legal strategy?

    No. The AI only performs the mathematical calculation based on the numbers you provide.

  • 02

    Does the AI decide if I should settle?

    No. The AI provides the EMV figure, but the final decision to settle or litigate is yours.

  • 03

    Can it access my files automatically?

    No. You must provide the case data or point the AI to the specific files you want it to read.

  • 04

    What happens if I don't have litigation costs?

    The AI will calculate the EMV based solely on the award and probability if you don't provide cost data.

  • 05

    Does the AI delete my original case notes?

    No. The AI only reads your data to perform the calculation; it never modifies or deletes your source files.

  • More questions about Settlement Value Estimator? The Connector page answers them. See everything the Settlement Value Estimator Connector can do

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