• PROBABILITY
  • EXPOSURE
  • STRATEGY
  • HUMAN

How to run risk sensitivity analysis with your AI

Connect your settlement data to your AI client to stress-test your negotiation ranges. Your agent handles the math so you can focus on the strategy.

Ask AI about this page

Short answer

How can I run risk sensitivity analysis with my AI?

You provide your current settlement range and win probabilities, then ask your agent to simulate different scenarios. It calculates how much your expected value shifts when those probabilities change, showing you where your strategy is most vulnerable.

The results of your analysis

Where your data lands

Running these simulations gives you a clear picture of your exposure.

PROBABILITY

Shifted win ranges

The AI recalculates your settlement range based on new probability inputs. You see exactly how a 5% or 10% swing in likelihood changes your target numbers.

EXPOSURE

Risk sensitivity scores

The agent identifies which specific variables have the biggest impact on your outcome. This tells you which assumptions are most dangerous to get wrong.

STRATEGY

Optimized settlement targets

You get a set of adjusted settlement ranges that account for volatility. These numbers act as a buffer against unexpected shifts in case strength.

HUMAN

Final decision support

The AI presents the data, but you decide which range to present to the opposing party. It provides the math, not the final judgment.

The workflow

What your AI does when the data arrives.

Your agent uses the Settlement Value Estimator to turn static numbers into dynamic models.

  1. Ingest settlement data

    The agent pulls your current case values and probability estimates from your provided files or sheets.

    perform_risk_sensitivity_analysis
  2. Run probability simulations

    The agent applies different win/loss weightings to your existing settlement range to see how the math reacts.

    perform_risk_sensitivity_analysis
  3. Identify volatility

    The agent flags which probability shifts cause the most drastic changes in your expected settlement value.

    perform_risk_sensitivity_analysis
  4. Generate summary reports

    The agent organizes the resulting ranges into a readable format you can use for your next negotiation.

    perform_risk_sensitivity_analysis

Try it

Copy these to start.

Use these prompts to kick off your analysis immediately.

Starting points

Swap the bracketed text with your actual file names or specific percentage values.

Settlement Value Estimator Connector

You're all set. Choose your MCP client and follow the setup instructions.

Connector linkhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_ENQPiGtp0bmmgZ3Vhzlbx7aZd0bZpSVUS9GtGCso/mcp

Claude Desktop

Follow the steps below to connect in seconds.

  1. 1In Claude Desktop, open Settings → Connectors.
  2. 2Click “Add custom connector” and paste the connector link above as the remote MCP server URL.
  3. 3Click Add and start a new chat — Settlement Value Estimator capabilities are ready to use.
Configuration · claude_desktop_config.jsonCopy
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "settlement-value-estimator-mcp": {
      "url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_ENQPiGtp0bmmgZ3Vhzlbx7aZd0bZpSVUS9GtGCso/mcp"
    }
  }
}
Copy into chat04
  • Run a risk sensitivity analysis on the settlement_data.csv file and show me how a 10% drop in win probability affects my range.

  • Based on my current spreadsheet, what happens to my settlement value if the win probability shifts from 70% to 50%?

  • Analyze the risk sensitivity for the Smith case using the values in my recent case notes.

  • Show me the settlement range volatility for my active litigation folder if all win probabilities decrease by 5%.

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Start here

Connect Settlement Value Estimator once, then ask.

Just link the MCP to your client. Your credentials stay encrypted and secure, and you can start running simulations right away.

Connect Settlement Value Estimator to your AI

FAQ

How this task behaves

  • 01

    Can the AI change my original settlement files?

    No. The AI only reads your data to perform calculations. It does not write to or modify your original files.

  • 02

    Does the AI decide what my settlement should be?

    No. The AI provides the mathematical ranges based on your inputs, but you make all final settlement decisions.

  • 03

    Can I run this on a single case or do I need a whole list?

    You can do both. You can point the agent to a single case's data or a full spreadsheet of multiple cases.

  • 04

    What happens if my win probability is 0% or 100%?

    The math still works, but the sensitivity analysis will show zero volatility since there is no room for probability to shift.

  • 05

    Does the AI need access to my legal management software?

    The AI only accesses the specific data you provide through the connected files or sheets you point it toward.

  • More questions about Settlement Value Estimator? The Connector page answers them. See everything the Settlement Value Estimator Connector can do

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