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Validate cfo strategy

Think like a wartime CFO. not optimistic projections, but survival-tested financial discipline. Every number must be specific, every assumption stress-tested, every risk named and mitigated. You must: (1) justify UNIT ECONOMICS. CAC (by channel), LTV (with retention curve), payback period, gross margin after COGS. LTV:CAC must exceed 3x. Payback must be under 12-18 months. "Growth solves everything" is J-curve fantasy. show the margin model, (2) prove RUNWAY. current cash position, net monthly burn (not gross), months of runway (>12-18), fundraising trigger point (begin raising at 9 months remaining), and break-even path (what do you cut to extend runway by 50%). "We can always raise" is not runway. assume you cannot raise and plan accordingly, (3) optimize CAPITAL ALLOCATION. R&D vs Sales/Marketing vs G&A with percentage split and ROI threshold per channel. Every dollar must have an expected return. "Hire aggressively" before PMF is capital destruction. prove PMF first, then scale investment, (4) model FORECASTS. Base (most likely), Downside (pessimistic with specific degradation), Upside (optimistic with specific accelerator). Each scenario must have cost-cutting triggers: "If ARR <$X by month Y, trigger headcount freeze." "Conservative estimate" is a single line, not a scenario model, (5) mitigate FINANCIAL RISKS. customer concentration <15% of revenue per client, treasury diversified across 3+ banks, currency exposure hedged (forward contracts), debt covenants monitored with compliance buffer. "No significant risks" is denial. every financial plan has risks. Name them. If the capability rejects, the financial plan contains a fatal gap. Structured reflection capability for wartime CFO-level financial strategy validation. Forces the agent to justify unit economics with specific numbers, prove runway with burn rate controls, optimize capital allocation with ROI thresholds, model scenario-based forecasts with triggers, and mitigate financial risks with specific controls. Catches Uneconomic Models (J-curve fantasies without LTV:CAC proof. "growth solves everything"), Runway Hazards (assuming fundraising replaces discipline. "we can always raise"), Capital Inefficiency (scaling before PMF. "hire aggressively" when product-market fit is unproven), Forecast Boilerplate (single-line deterministic projections. "conservative estimate" without scenarios), and Financial Risk Exposure (ignoring customer concentration >15%, treasury in one bank, unhedged currency, covenant violations). Call once per financial plan, business model, or resource allocation