• RETURNS
  • CARRY
  • SCENARIOS
  • HUMAN

How to project fund returns and carry with your AI

Connect your portfolio data to your AI client to run exit simulations. You'll get clear views of how different exit multiples impact your total returns and carry.

Ask AI about this page

Short answer

How can I project my fund's returns and carry?

Your AI uses the project_return_scenarios tool to run math on your portfolio's exit multiples. You'll see how different exit outcomes change your total fund returns and your specific carry percentage. Here is the breakdown of how it works.

Simulation outcomes

What your projections reveal

Running these scenarios gives you four specific outputs.

RETURNS

Projected fund returns

The AI calculates total fund performance based on the exit multiples you choose. You get a clear picture of the fund's upside.

CARRY

Estimated manager carry

The tool estimates your carry based on the simulated exit values. This shows how much you'll earn at different exit points.

SCENARIOS

Multiple exit paths

You can compare conservative, base, and aggressive exit scenarios side by side. This helps you understand the range of possible outcomes.

HUMAN

Strategic decision making

The AI provides the math, but you decide which exit multiples are realistic for your specific industry or stage. You interpret the results to plan your next move.

The workflow

What your AI does when the data arrives.

The AI handles the heavy math so you can focus on the strategy.

  1. Analyze portfolio

    The AI reads your current portfolio holdings and cost basis to establish a baseline for all calculations.

    project_return_scenarios

  2. Run exit math

    The AI applies different exit multiples to your companies to see how they affect the total fund value.

    project_return_scenarios

  3. Calculate carry

    The AI computes the carry owed to managers based on the simulated profit distributions.

    project_return_scenarios

  4. Compare outcomes

    The AI organizes the different return scenarios into a format that's easy to compare.

    project_return_scenarios

Try it

Copy these to start.

Use these prompts to kick off your simulations.

Starting points

Swap out the specific sheet names or portfolio identifiers for your own.

Accelerator Follow-on Fund Connector

You're all set. Choose your MCP client and follow the setup instructions.

Connector linkhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_CYpaB5NI6CmS0zMx8qiHu9ugxRFCTHFuwNNZorfT/mcp

Claude Desktop

Follow the steps below to connect in seconds.

  1. 1In Claude Desktop, open Settings → Connectors.
  2. 2Click “Add custom connector” and paste the connector link above as the remote MCP server URL.
  3. 3Click Add and start a new chat — Accelerator Follow-on Fund capabilities are ready to use.
Configuration · claude_desktop_config.jsonCopy
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "accelerator-follow-on-fund-modeler-mcp": {
      "url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_CYpaB5NI6CmS0zMx8qiHu9ugxRFCTHFuwNNZorfT/mcp"
    }
  }
}
Copy into chat04

  • Run a return scenario for my portfolio in the 'Series A Fund' sheet using 3x, 5x, and 10x exit multiples.

  • Based on the current holdings in my 'Portfolio_2024' sheet, what is my estimated carry if we hit a 5x exit?

  • Simulate a bear case scenario for my portfolio using 1x exit multiples for all companies.

  • Compare the projected fund returns for my 'Growth Fund' if the top three companies exit at 10x versus 5x.

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Start here

Connect Accelerator Follow-on Fund Modeler once, then ask.

Connect the MCP to your AI client in one click. Your credentials stay encrypted, and you can start running math immediately.

Connect Accelerator Follow-on Fund Modeler to your AI

FAQ

How this task behaves

  • 01

    Can the AI change my actual portfolio data?

    No. The AI only reads your data to perform calculations. It cannot edit or delete your original records.

  • 02

    Does the AI decide which exit multiples are realistic?

    No. You must provide the exit multiples you want to test. The AI only performs the math for the numbers you give it.

  • 03

    What data does the AI need to run these scenarios?

    The AI needs access to your portfolio holdings, specifically the cost basis and current valuation data.

  • 04

    Can I run scenarios for just one specific company?

    Yes. You can ask the AI to simulate an exit for a single company within your portfolio.

  • 05

    Will the AI automatically update my carry when a company exits?

    No. This tool is for simulation and projection. It does not trigger real-world financial updates or legal changes.

  • More questions about Accelerator Follow-on Fund Modeler? The Connector page answers them. See everything the Accelerator Follow-on Fund Modeler Connector can do

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