• PROBABILITY
  • PORTFOLIO
  • SENSITIVITY
  • HUMAN

How to estimate equity return values with your AI

Connect your data once. Your AI handles the math for your portfolio's future value.

Ask AI about this page

Short answer

How can I project my equity returns using AI?

Your AI uses exit multiples and historical success rates to run probability-weighted models on your current holdings. You get a breakdown of expected returns based on different exit scenarios.

Expected outcomes

Where your projections land.

The AI processes your portfolio data into these specific outcomes.

PROBABILITY

Weighted exit scenarios

The AI calculates the likelihood of different exit valuations. You see a range of possible returns based on success probabilities.

PORTFOLIO

Total fund value

The AI aggregates individual stake projections. You get a single view of what the entire program is worth at exit.

SENSITIVITY

Variable impact analysis

The AI tests how changes in exit multiples affect your bottom line. You see which companies drive the most value.

HUMAN

Strategic decisions

The AI provides the raw math and models. You decide which follow-on investments or exits make sense for the fund.

The workflow

What your AI does when the data arrives.

The AI moves from raw portfolio data to structured financial models.

  1. Ingest holdings

    The AI reads your current equity positions, including ownership percentages and entry valuations.

    calculate_equity_value_exchange

  2. Model exits

    The AI applies exit multiples and success probabilities to each individual stake.

    calculate_equity_value_exchange

  3. Aggregate returns

    The AI sums the weighted values to provide a total fund projection.

    calculate_equity_value_exchange

  4. Compare scenarios

    The AI runs different versions of the model to show how varying exit prices change the outcome.

    calculate_equity_value_exchange

Try it

Copy these to start.

Use these prompts to kick off your analysis.

Starting points

Replace the bracketed text with your specific data sources like a spreadsheet or a CRM.

Accelerator Economics Connector

You're all set. Choose your MCP client and follow the setup instructions.

Connector linkhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_oFInP4rf4MbO4mWeFa51QcZ1lsQoFVtF2z6HizTo/mcp

Claude Desktop

Follow the steps below to connect in seconds.

  1. 1In Claude Desktop, open Settings → Connectors.
  2. 2Click “Add custom connector” and paste the connector link above as the remote MCP server URL.
  3. 3Click Add and start a new chat — Accelerator Economics capabilities are ready to use.
Configuration · claude_desktop_config.jsonCopy
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "accelerator-incubator-economics-model-mcp": {
      "url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_oFInP4rf4MbO4mWeFa51QcZ1lsQoFVtF2z6HizTo/mcp"
    }
  }
}
Copy into chat04

  • Calculate the expected return for my portfolio based on the holdings in this Google Sheet.

  • Run an exit scenario for the startups listed in my CRM using a 10x multiple.

  • What is the probability-weighted value of my equity stakes if the average exit is $50M?

  • Compare the projected returns of my current portfolio against a 5x exit multiple scenario.

  • Claude
  • ChatGPT
  • Cursor
  • VS Code
  • Windsurf
  • Claude Code
  • JetBrains
  • Cline

Start here

Connect Accelerator & Incubator Economics Model once, then ask.

One connection gives your AI access to the math. All your data stays under your control.

Connect Accelerator & Incubator Economics Model to your AI

FAQ

Common questions

  • 01

    Can the AI change my actual equity records?

    No. The AI only reads your data to perform calculations. It cannot write or modify your legal or financial records.

  • 02

    Does the AI decide which companies to invest in?

    No. The AI provides the mathematical projections, but you make all investment and exit decisions.

  • 03

    What data does the AI need to run a projection?

    It needs your current equity stakes, ownership percentages, and your assumed exit multiples or success rates.

  • 04

    Can I use this with my existing spreadsheets?

    Yes. Once connected, your AI can read the data directly from your connected sheets to run the models.

  • 05

    Will the AI delete any of my portfolio data?

    No. This MCP is designed for calculation and analysis only. It has no capability to delete your data.

  • More questions about Accelerator & Incubator Economics Model? The Connector page answers them. See everything the Accelerator & Incubator Economics Model Connector can do

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