• SENSITIVITY
  • PROBABILITY
  • COMPARISON
  • HUMAN

How to compare portfolio risk scenarios with your AI

Connect your portfolio data to your AI client. From there, you can model how different outcomes change your expected returns.

Ask AI about this page

Short answer

How can I model different risk outcomes for my portfolio?

You use the AI to run simulations where you tweak variables like failure or breakout rates. This shows you how those shifts impact your total return multiples. You'll see the specific impact of each scenario through the following breakdown.

The results of your modeling

Where your risk data lands

Running these scenarios gives you specific data points to evaluate your risk.

SENSITIVITY

Variable impact analysis

The AI calculates how sensitive your returns are to specific changes. You'll see which variables move the needle most.

PROBABILITY

Success rate modeling

Adjust breakout and failure rates to see how different probability distributions affect your multiples. This helps you understand the weight of your assumptions.

COMPARISON

Scenario side-by-sides

Get a direct comparison between a baseline model and a stressed model. This makes it easy to spot the delta in your expected returns.

HUMAN

Strategic decision making

The AI provides the math, but you decide which scenario is most realistic. You use these outputs to set your actual investment guardrails.

The workflow

What your AI does when the data arrives.

The AI handles the heavy math and data manipulation so you can focus on the strategy.

  1. Data ingestion

    Your AI reads your current portfolio holdings and historical performance data to establish a baseline.

    compare_scenarios

  2. Parameter adjustment

    You tell the AI to change specific variables, such as increasing the failure rate of a specific sector.

    compare_scenarios

  3. Multiple simulation runs

    The AI executes the math for every scenario you've defined, calculating the new multiples for each.

    compare_scenarios

  4. Result aggregation

    The AI organizes the results into a format that lets you compare the different return profiles side-by-side.

    compare_scenarios

Try it

Copy these to start.

Use these prompts to kick off your analysis.

Starting points

These are opening lines. Swap out the specific portfolio names or rate percentages to match your actual data.

Accelerator Portfolio Construction Connector

You're all set. Choose your MCP client and follow the setup instructions.

Connector linkhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_7tr9zHSIXH6CO8fhTePQBCiPRBL1pdCGedpVD6Ru/mcp

Claude Desktop

Follow the steps below to connect in seconds.

  1. 1In Claude Desktop, open Settings → Connectors.
  2. 2Click “Add custom connector” and paste the connector link above as the remote MCP server URL.
  3. 3Click Add and start a new chat — Accelerator Portfolio Construction capabilities are ready to use.
Configuration · claude_desktop_config.jsonCopy
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "accelerator-portfolio-construction-mcp": {
      "url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_7tr9zHSIXH6CO8fhTePQBCiPRBL1pdCGedpVD6Ru/mcp"
    }
  }
}
Copy into chat04

  • Compare a scenario where the breakout rate for my tech holdings increases by 5% against my current baseline.

  • Run a stress test on my current portfolio by doubling the failure rate for all early-stage companies.

  • Show me how my total return multiples change if the breakout rate for my biotech sleeve drops to 10%.

  • Compare my current portfolio performance against a scenario where failure rates are 20% higher across the board.

  • Claude
  • ChatGPT
  • Cursor
  • VS Code
  • Windsurf
  • Claude Code
  • JetBrains
  • Cline

Start here

Connect Accelerator Portfolio Construction once, then ask.

Just click the link to connect the MCP to your client. Your credentials stay encrypted and you can start running scenarios immediately.

Connect Accelerator Portfolio Construction to your AI

FAQ

How this task behaves

  • 01

    Can the AI change my actual portfolio data?

    No. The AI only reads your data to perform calculations. It cannot modify your actual records or holdings.

  • 02

    Does the AI decide which risk scenario is best?

    No. The AI provides the mathematical outcomes for the scenarios you define, but you are responsible for the final strategic decisions.

  • 03

    Can I run scenarios on specific sectors?

    Yes, you can instruct the AI to apply changes to specific subsets of your portfolio, like a single industry or stage.

  • 04

    What happens if my data is incomplete?

    The AI will perform the math based on the data it can access. If it lacks necessary information for a specific variable, it will tell you.

  • 05

    Can the AI export these scenarios to a spreadsheet?

    No. The AI can format the results for you to copy, but it does not have a tool to write directly to external files.

  • More questions about Accelerator Portfolio Construction? The Connector page answers them. See everything the Accelerator Portfolio Construction Connector can do

Connect Accelerator Portfolio Construction to Claude, Cursor, ChatGPT & more