Expected Value vs Implied Probability Connector for AI agents.
3 live capabilities
Calculate market edges and optimal position sizing
Waiting for input…
Why people use Expected Value vs Implied Probability
Eliminate manual math with Expected Value vs Implied Probability
With this MCP, you just feed your model's probability and the market price into your agent. It does the math instantly, giving you a clear signal and a specific dollar amount to risk. You get precision without the manual labor.
What Vinkius changes
You turn raw probability data into actionable betting and sizing decisions.
Use it from Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor or another AI client you already have.
One account · 6,400+ Connectors
- Real-world use case 01
Finding value in sports betting
A bettor has a model predicting a 60% win chance, but the market is pricing it at 50%.
- Real-world use case 02
Managing bankroll volatility
A trader wants to avoid ruin during a losing streak and uses the sizing capability to scale down positions automatically.
- Real-world use case 03
Validating market efficiency
An analyst uses the status capability to see if a specific market is consistently mispriced compared to their long-term models.
Complete set · 3capabilities
The complete Expected Value vs Implied Probability capability set.
These are the exact actions your AI can choose when you ask it to work with Expected Value vs Implied Probability.
01—03
3 capabilities in this set.
Part of 3 available through Expected Value vs Implied Probability.
- 01 Capability
Calculate edge and signal
Calculates the statistical edge and provides a buy or sell signal. It tells you if a market position is worth taking.
- 02 Capability
Calculate position size
Determines the recommended capital to commit using fractional Kelly sizing. It helps you manage bankroll growth and risk.
- 03 Capability
Get market status
Summarizes the relationship between market prices and your models. It highlights conviction gaps in the market.
Set up in minutes
One URL. Then ask Expected Value vs Implied Probability to work.
Claude and ChatGPT only need the Connector URL. Copy it once, add it in settings, and use Expected Value vs Implied Probability from the conversation.
Choose your client
Live previewAdvanced clients IDE · CLI
Claude · Web + desktop
Connector URL · ready to paste
Streamable HTTPhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_57grJMDgNBl7iztCzgzlyfUlTXqA1RoaIJ9c4qKx/mcp - Step 01
Open Connectors
In Claude Web or Claude Desktop, open Settings and choose Connectors.
- Step 02
Add the URL
Choose Add custom connector, name it Expected Value vs Implied Probability, and paste the URL above.
- Step 03
Turn it on in chat
Select +, open Connectors, and enable Expected Value vs Implied Probability for the conversation.
ChatGPT · Web + desktop
Connector URL · ready to paste
Streamable HTTPhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_57grJMDgNBl7iztCzgzlyfUlTXqA1RoaIJ9c4qKx/mcp - Step 01
Open MCP settings
On desktop, open Settings and MCP servers. On web, open your workspace app or connector settings.
- Step 02
Add the URL
Choose Add server with Streamable HTTP, or create a custom MCP app, then paste the Expected Value vs Implied Probability URL.
- Step 03
Save and start
Save the connection and enable Expected Value vs Implied Probability in your conversation. Desktop may ask you to restart once.
Cursor · IDE configuration
Advanced setup
{
"mcpServers": {
"expected-value-vs-implied-probability": {
"url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_57grJMDgNBl7iztCzgzlyfUlTXqA1RoaIJ9c4qKx/mcp"
}
}
}- Step 01
Open MCP Settings
Press Cmd+Shift+P (macOS) or Ctrl+Shift+P (Windows/Linux) → search "MCP Settings"
- Step 02
Add the server config
Paste the JSON configuration above into the mcp.json file that opens
- Step 03
Save the file
Cursor will automatically detect the new Connector
- Step 04
Start using Expected Value vs Implied Probability
Open Agent mode in chat and ask: "Using Expected Value vs Implied Probability, help me...". 3 tools available
VS Code Copilot · IDE configuration
Advanced setup
{
"mcpServers": {
"expected-value-vs-implied-probability": {
"url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_57grJMDgNBl7iztCzgzlyfUlTXqA1RoaIJ9c4qKx/mcp"
}
}
}- Step 01
Create MCP config
Create a .vscode/mcp.json file in your project root
- Step 02
Add the server config
Paste the JSON configuration above
- Step 03
Enable Agent mode
Open GitHub Copilot Chat and switch to Agent mode using the dropdown
- Step 04
Start using Expected Value vs Implied Probability
Ask Copilot: "Using Expected Value vs Implied Probability, help me...". 3 tools available
Windsurf · IDE configuration
Advanced setup
{
"mcpServers": {
"expected-value-vs-implied-probability": {
"url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_57grJMDgNBl7iztCzgzlyfUlTXqA1RoaIJ9c4qKx/mcp"
}
}
}- Step 01
Open MCP Settings
Go to Settings → MCP Configuration or press Cmd+Shift+P and search "MCP"
- Step 02
Add the server
Paste the JSON configuration above into mcp_config.json
- Step 03
Save and reload
Windsurf will detect the new server automatically
- Step 04
Start using Expected Value vs Implied Probability
Open Cascade and ask: "Using Expected Value vs Implied Probability, help me...". 3 tools available
Cline · IDE configuration
Advanced setup
{
"mcpServers": {
"expected-value-vs-implied-probability": {
"url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_57grJMDgNBl7iztCzgzlyfUlTXqA1RoaIJ9c4qKx/mcp"
}
}
}- Step 01
Open Cline MCP Settings
Click the Connectors icon in the Cline sidebar panel
- Step 02
Add remote server
Click "Add Connector" and paste the configuration above
- Step 03
Enable the server
Toggle the server switch to ON
- Step 04
Start using Expected Value vs Implied Probability
Ask Cline: "Using Expected Value vs Implied Probability, help me...". 3 tools available
Claude Code · Terminal command
Advanced setup
claude mcp add expected-value-vs-implied-probability --transport http "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_57grJMDgNBl7iztCzgzlyfUlTXqA1RoaIJ9c4qKx/mcp"- Step 01
Install Claude Code
Run npm install -g @anthropic-ai/claude-code if not already installed
- Step 02
Add the Connector
Run the command above in your terminal
- Step 03
Verify the connection
Run claude mcp to list connected servers, or type /mcp inside a session
- Step 04
Start using Expected Value vs Implied Probability
Ask Claude: "Using Expected Value vs Implied Probability, show me...". 3 tools are ready
Where the request belongs
Work Expected Value vs Implied Probability can move forward.
This is for anyone managing a bankroll who needs to move from intuition to mathematical certainty.
Sports Bettor
Uses the capability on a Saturday afternoon to find value in football or tennis lines.
Quantitative Trader
Uses it to validate market pricing against proprietary models during high-volatility sessions.
Risk Manager
Uses it to ensure position sizing stays within strict mathematical bounds.
Build the capability set
Add more capabilities.
Each Connector adds new actions and data without changing how you work.
Browse Connectors
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A deterministic pricing engine that adjusts polling data for historical bias and calculates Expected Value (EV) for prediction markets.
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Analyze profitability and risk for Pachinko and Pachislot machines.
Gacha Pity Calculator
Calculate exact gacha probabilities, soft pity escalation, and resource costs.
Retirement Planning Engine
Project retirement savings growth, optimize Social Security benefits, and simulate withdrawal success.
Drop Rate Calculator
Calculate item drop probabilities, pity mechanics, and expected resource usage for loot-based systems.
T-Test Statistics Engine
Run exact Student's, Welch's, and Paired t-tests local. Get CPU-guaranteed p-values instead of LLM-hallucinated guesses.
Bring your own AI
Change the model, client or framework. Keep Expected Value vs Implied Probability connected.
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Claude -
ChatGPT -
Gemini -
Cursor -
VS Code -
Windsurf -
ZCode -
Cline -
Zed -
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Open WebUI -
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Cherry Studio -
LibreChat -
TypingMind -
Chorus -
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LangChain -
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Vercel AI SDK
Before you connect
Questions about Expected Value vs Implied Probability.
The practical details behind the request, access and result.
How can I use the Expected Value vs Implied Probability MCP to find better bets?
You can use it to compare your own probability predictions against current market prices. This helps you identify exactly where the market is mispriced so you can act on a statistical edge.
Can this Expected Value vs Implied Probability MCP manage my bankroll?
Yes. It includes capabilities to calculate recommended position sizes using fractional Kelly sizing, which helps you grow your bankroll while controlling for risk.
Does the Expected Value vs Implied Probability MCP provide the probabilities for me?
No. You need to provide your own model's probability or conviction. The MCP is designed to process your data and turn it into actionable math and signals.
Which AI clients work with the Expected Value vs Implied Probability MCP?
You can connect this MCP to any compatible client, including Claude, Cursor, Windsurf, and VS Code, through the Vinkius platform.
How does this Expected Value vs Implied Probability MCP help with risk management?
It uses mathematical formulas like the Kelly Criterion to tell you exactly how much capital to commit, preventing you from overleveraging on any single position.
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