Implied Probability Extractor Connector for AI agents.
3 live capabilities
Find the fair market probability of any sporting event by stripping the bookmaker margin.
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Why people use Implied Probability Extractor
Implied Probability Extractor for Sportsbook Value Analysis
This Connector handles all that math in one go. You just give your agent the odds, and it spits out the fair market probability. You stop doing manual arithmetic and start making decisions based on clean data.
What Vinkius changes
You get the real probability of an event without the house's cut.
Use it from Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor or another AI client you already have.
One account · 6,100+ Connectors
- Real-world use case 01
Finding Value
A bettor asks the agent to check if a -110 and +110 line is fair.
- Real-world use case 02
Margin Comparison
A researcher wants to see which book has the lowest cut.
- Real-world use case 03
Model Validation
An analyst compares their own 55% projection against the sportsbook's raw numbers using get_raw_probabilities to see the gap.
Complete set · 3capabilities
The complete Implied Probability Extractor capability set.
These are the exact actions your AI can choose when you ask it to work with Implied Probability Extractor.
01—03
3 capabilities in this set.
Part of 3 available through Implied Probability Extractor.
- 01 Capability
Calculate overround percentage
Determines the total margin the bookmaker is charging on a set of odds. It helps you see the house's cut clearly.
- 02 Capability
Get raw probabilities
Converts American odds into unadjusted implied probabilities. This shows the probability before any adjustments.
- 03 Capability
Get true probabilities
Removes the bookmaker's margin to provide fair market probabilities. This is the core calculation for finding value.
Set up in minutes
One URL. Then ask Implied Probability Extractor to work.
Claude and ChatGPT only need the Connector URL. Copy it once, add it in settings, and use Implied Probability Extractor from the conversation.
Choose your client
Live previewAdvanced clients IDE · CLI
Claude · Web + desktop
Connector URL · ready to paste
Streamable HTTPhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_6uihQnjCBDnbzu7nnPLC9eBf0XhY9qCxip46V2oE/mcp - Step 01
Open Connectors
In Claude Web or Claude Desktop, open Settings and choose Connectors.
- Step 02
Add the URL
Choose Add custom connector, name it Implied Probability Extractor, and paste the URL above.
- Step 03
Turn it on in chat
Select +, open Connectors, and enable Implied Probability Extractor for the conversation.
ChatGPT · Web + desktop
Connector URL · ready to paste
Streamable HTTPhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_6uihQnjCBDnbzu7nnPLC9eBf0XhY9qCxip46V2oE/mcp - Step 01
Open MCP settings
On desktop, open Settings and MCP servers. On web, open your workspace app or connector settings.
- Step 02
Add the URL
Choose Add server with Streamable HTTP, or create a custom MCP app, then paste the Implied Probability Extractor URL.
- Step 03
Save and start
Save the connection and enable Implied Probability Extractor in your conversation. Desktop may ask you to restart once.
Cursor · IDE configuration
Advanced setup
{
"mcpServers": {
"implied-probability-extractor": {
"url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_6uihQnjCBDnbzu7nnPLC9eBf0XhY9qCxip46V2oE/mcp"
}
}
} - Step 01
Open MCP Settings
Press Cmd+Shift+P (macOS) or Ctrl+Shift+P (Windows/Linux) → search "MCP Settings"
- Step 02
Add the server config
Paste the JSON configuration above into the mcp.json file that opens
- Step 03
Save the file
Cursor will automatically detect the new Connector
- Step 04
Start using Implied Probability Extractor
Open Agent mode in chat and ask: "Using Implied Probability Extractor, help me...". 3 tools available
VS Code Copilot · IDE configuration
Advanced setup
{
"mcpServers": {
"implied-probability-extractor": {
"url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_6uihQnjCBDnbzu7nnPLC9eBf0XhY9qCxip46V2oE/mcp"
}
}
} - Step 01
Create MCP config
Create a .vscode/mcp.json file in your project root
- Step 02
Add the server config
Paste the JSON configuration above
- Step 03
Enable Agent mode
Open GitHub Copilot Chat and switch to Agent mode using the dropdown
- Step 04
Start using Implied Probability Extractor
Ask Copilot: "Using Implied Probability Extractor, help me...". 3 tools available
Windsurf · IDE configuration
Advanced setup
{
"mcpServers": {
"implied-probability-extractor": {
"url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_6uihQnjCBDnbzu7nnPLC9eBf0XhY9qCxip46V2oE/mcp"
}
}
} - Step 01
Open MCP Settings
Go to Settings → MCP Configuration or press Cmd+Shift+P and search "MCP"
- Step 02
Add the server
Paste the JSON configuration above into mcp_config.json
- Step 03
Save and reload
Windsurf will detect the new server automatically
- Step 04
Start using Implied Probability Extractor
Open Cascade and ask: "Using Implied Probability Extractor, help me...". 3 tools available
Cline · IDE configuration
Advanced setup
{
"mcpServers": {
"implied-probability-extractor": {
"url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_6uihQnjCBDnbzu7nnPLC9eBf0XhY9qCxip46V2oE/mcp"
}
}
} - Step 01
Open Cline MCP Settings
Click the Connectors icon in the Cline sidebar panel
- Step 02
Add remote server
Click "Add Connector" and paste the configuration above
- Step 03
Enable the server
Toggle the server switch to ON
- Step 04
Start using Implied Probability Extractor
Ask Cline: "Using Implied Probability Extractor, help me...". 3 tools available
Claude Code · Terminal command
Advanced setup
claude mcp add implied-probability-extractor --transport http "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_6uihQnjCBDnbzu7nnPLC9eBf0XhY9qCxip46V2oE/mcp" - Step 01
Install Claude Code
Run npm install -g @anthropic-ai/claude-code if not already installed
- Step 02
Add the Connector
Run the command above in your terminal
- Step 03
Verify the connection
Run claude mcp to list connected servers, or type /mcp inside a session
- Step 04
Start using Implied Probability Extractor
Ask Claude: "Using Implied Probability Extractor, show me...". 3 tools are ready
Where the request belongs
Work Implied Probability Extractor can move forward.
Professional sports bettors and data analysts who need to find value in the markets. It's for the person who spends hours in spreadsheets trying to figure out if a line is actually worth taking.
Sports Betting Analyst
Analyzes multiple books to find discrepancies and value by comparing de-viggered odds.
Professional Gambler
Uses math to justify every bet and manages bankrolls based on true odds rather than raw lines.
Sportsbook Researcher
Compares house margins across different regions and markets to identify the best platforms.
Build the capability set
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Bring your own AI
Change the model, client or framework. Keep Implied Probability Extractor connected.
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Before you connect
Questions about Implied Probability Extractor.
The practical details behind the request, access and result.
What is the Implied Probability Extractor for?
It helps you find the real, fair probability of a sporting event by removing the bookmaker's margin (the vig) from American odds. This lets you see the actual market price.
How does this help me find betting value?
By stripping away the house's cut, you can see if the odds offered by a sportsbook are actually better than the fair market probability. This makes it easier to spot edges.
Can it handle any type of American odds?
Yes, it works with any standard American odds format, including favorites (negative numbers) and underdogs (positive numbers).
What is a true probability in betting?
True probability is the fair market chance of an event occurring without any extra margin added by a sportsbook. It's the baseline you need for accurate analysis.
How does it remove the bookmaker's margin?
The Connector calculates the total overround across all outcomes and then mathematically adjusts the raw probabilities to give you the de-viggered, fair market price.
What is the 'vig' in betting?
The 'vig', or vigorish, is the commission charged by a bookmaker to facilitate a bet. It is the margin built into the odds that ensures the house has an edge.
How do I find the fair probability of an outcome?
You can use the get_true_probabilities capability. By providing the American odds for all possible outcomes, the capability removes the overround to show you the true, margin-free probability.
Can I check how much margin a bookmaker is charging?
Yes, use the calculate_overround_percentage capability. It calculates the total market weight and shows you exactly how much the sum of probabilities exceeds 100%.
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