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ClaudeChatGPTPerplexityGeminiMicrosoft CopilotRaycastMeta AIGrokZ.aiQwenKimi
DeepSeekMistralCursorVS CodeWindsurfJetBrainsClineLovableVercel AI SDKLangChain

Use Polling Bias & EV Engine with your AI.

Connect your account once and let the AI you already use work with it, without building another integration. A deterministic pricing engine that adjusts polling data for historical bias and calculates Expected Value (EV) for prediction markets.

Included with plan

Ask AI about this Connector

Developed, maintained, and hosted by Vinkius.

MCP VERIFIED · PRODUCTION READY · VINKIUS GUARANTEED

Waiting for input…

Works with modern AI clients that support MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Cursor, and more.

ChatGPTClaudeCursorPerplexityGeminiMicrosoft CopilotRaycastMeta AI

Complete set · 3 capabilities

The complete Polling Bias & EV Engine capability set.

These are the exact actions your AI can choose when you ask it to work with Polling Bias & EV Engine.

Capability set01 / 01

01-03

3 capabilities in this set.

Part of 3 available through Polling Bias & EV Engine.

  1. 01

    Get market summary

    Provides a high-level overview of the discrepancy between polling data and market pricing

  2. 02

    Calculate adjusted probability

    Determines the corrected probability of an election outcome by accounting for historical bias and time-based uncertainty

  3. 03

    Evaluate market opportunity

    Calculates the Expected Value (EV) and determines if a trade signal should be issued

Observed, not estimated

810ms average. Fast in production.

Polling Bias & EV Engine is checked daily against the live service.

Daily averagePeak 1010ms
Aug 20Today
Fastest day
628ms
Slowest day
1010ms
14-day trend
Slowing+25%

Connect your client

One URL. Every client.

Activate the Connector, copy your link, and paste it into the client you already use. 3 capabilities arrive ready to run.

Preview access · not provider authentication

The vk_preview_* token belongs to Vinkius preview infrastructure. It lets Claude discover and display the capabilities of Polling Bias & EV Engine, so you can see the experience inside your AI.

It does not authenticate your account with Polling Bias & EV Engine. Actions requiring credentials or live account data may not run until you activate the Connector and authorize the service.

Polling Bias & EV Engine Connector

You're all set. Choose your MCP client and follow the setup instructions.

Connector linkhttps://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_XWrKRSTRnCGvNU049bQFUAaHrUWgQDdaSB2ZZsbg/mcp

Claude Desktop

Follow the steps below to connect in seconds.

  1. 1In Claude Desktop, open Settings → Connectors.
  2. 2Click “Add custom connector” and paste the connector link above as the remote MCP server URL.
  3. 3Click Add and start a new chat — Polling Bias & EV Engine capabilities are ready to use.
Configuration · claude_desktop_config.jsonCopy
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "polling-bias-ev-engine-mcp": {
      "url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_XWrKRSTRnCGvNU049bQFUAaHrUWgQDdaSB2ZZsbg/mcp"
    }
  }
}
  • Claude
  • ChatGPT
  • Cursor
  • VS Code
  • Windsurf
  • Claude Code
  • JetBrains
  • Cline

Step-by-step instructions for each client are in the guide. How to connect

FAQ

Questions Polling Bias & EV Engine owners ask.

  • 01

    How is the adjusted probability calculated?

    The probability is calculated by taking the raw poll, adding the historical bias, and factoring in a time-decay component based on the remaining days until the election and the polling uncertainty.

  • 02

    What constitutes a BUY signal?

    A BUY signal is generated by evaluate_market_opportunity when the calculated Expected Value (EV) exceeds the 0.03 threshold.

  • 03

    Can I use this with Claude Desktop?

    Yes, this MCP server can be connected to Claude Desktop, Cursor, VS Code, Windsurf, and any other MCP-compatible client via Vinkius Edge.

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